Trust This.
By Joseph E. Seagle, Esq.
👋 Happy Friday! Monday will be Bill of Rights Day, when we commemorate the first ten amendments to the U.S. Constitution. These amendments were made by the founding fathers to address what some of them saw as “holes” in the main Constitution and to get the states to ratify it. They protect fundamental rights like freedom from restrictions on speech, religion, gun ownership, and illegal search and seizure. It’s a day to reflect on and cherish those rights that protect us from government overreach.
1 big thing: Florida Buyers Face Reality: Fed Cuts ≠ Big Mortgage Relief

Bond market dynamics—not the Fed policy rate—are holding mortgage rates high in December 2025. Even after the Federal Reserve trimmed rates, longer-term funding costs that drive mortgage pricing are barely budging, a stubborn trend that’s reshaping market expectations from Miami to Jacksonville.
Why yields matter more than the Fed
Real-world mortgage pricing tracks the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield and bond markets more than the Federal Reserve’s benchmark rate. The recent 25-basis-point Fed cut was widely expected and already priced into financial markets, so Treasury yields moved only marginally, hovering near 4.14%. That lack of movement means the cost of borrowing for homebuyers hasn’t fallen significantly since the rate cut.
Mortgage professionals say that until the 10-year yield drops below roughly 4% for a sustained period, long-term mortgage rates under 6% will remain elusive—despite policymakers’ rhetoric.
Vision: Rethinking affordability in Florida
For Florida’s housing ecosystem—agents, builders, lenders, and service providers—this disconnect alters foundational planning assumptions. Strong population growth continues to fuel demand, but affordability is being recalibrated. Rather than banking on headline Fed cuts, stakeholders must anchor strategies in bond market realities and data that actually drive mortgage pricing.
Traction: Structural strategies over hope
Buyers and advisers should consider tools that mitigate high long-term borrowing costs:
Interest rate buydowns and assumable mortgages can help bridge capacity gaps.
Refinance timing should be calibrated to real movement in Treasury yields, not Fed expectations.
Fixed-rate alternatives and adjustable strategies offer flexibility in a sideways rate environment.
Developers and investors should run financing models with conservative debt service thresholds; rising construction costs coupled with only modest rate easing could squeeze margins.
People / Process / Data: Track bond spreads
The critical indicator isn’t the federal funds rate—it’s the spread between Treasury yields and mortgage rates, and how it evolves with economic data, inflation expectations, and global investor flows. Mortgage approval pipelines, pricing engines, and sales forecasts should all be aligned to these real drivers of capital costs.
The takeaway
Florida’s housing market isn’t waiting for a magic rate cut. Lower mortgage costs will emerge only if long-term bond yields begin a sustained slide—a function of macroeconomic forces far broader than Fed policy alone.
What’s next
Keep an eye on inflation data, Treasury auctions, and shifts in foreign investor demand for U.S. debt. Those will determine whether mortgage costs finally decouple upward pressure and slide meaningfully lower.
2. The rising risks behind “innovative” home-equity agreements

Florida homeowners and small business owners are being flooded with offers to tap home equity without taking on traditional debt — a tempting pitch in a high-rate world. But the fast-growing market for Home Equity Sharing Agreements (HESAs) is drawing fresh warnings from economists, regulators, and consumer attorneys who say the arrangements can quietly erode wealth and destabilize household finances.
These contracts, pushed heavily across Sun Belt states, give a company a stake in your home’s future appreciation in exchange for upfront cash. The pitch sounds frictionless. The fine print is anything but.
What’s happening
Equity-sharing firms are targeting Florida’s high-value, high-appreciation markets. With property values rising faster than incomes, homeowners in Orlando, Tampa, Sarasota, and Miami are sitting on record equity — well over $300,000 on average in many ZIP codes. Cash-out refinances are expensive, and HELOC rates still hover in the double digits. Companies know it.
But the agreements compound — aggressively. Many contracts take 16–40% of your future appreciation, often with steep penalties if you sell or refinance “too early.” Several include balloon-like settlement triggers, forcing repayment even without a sale.
Why it matters in Florida
Florida entrepreneurs and professionals often use home equity to launch or expand practices, acquire commercial property, cash-flow new ventures, or weather seasonal swings. A HESA can quietly choke future leverage:
When you want to sell or refinance, the equity share stacks, shrinking your liquidity.
If your home appreciates sharply — common in Florida’s coastal and metro markets — the buyout cost can be massive.
For practice owners relying on personal balance sheets for SBA loans, real estate buys, or expansion credit, diluted equity can weaken underwriting strength.
Several states are investigating whether these agreements constitute unlicensed lending. Florida has not yet taken major action, but regulators are watching as complaints climb.
The takeaway for Florida entrepreneurs
A HESA can feel like free money, especially for borrowers priced out of traditional credit. But for Floridians whose home equity is central to wealth-building, financing growth, or securing business loans, these agreements behave less like a partnership and more like a long-tail balloon note tied to the most valuable asset you own.
If your business strategy relies on liquidity, refinancing power, or predictable equity, tread carefully.
What’s next
Expect increased scrutiny and possibly federal guidance as consumer complaints rise. Florida policymakers may follow states exploring whether these agreements fit existing lending laws. For now, professionals and practice owners should treat every HESA as a high-stakes private contract with significant long-term consequences — best reviewed with counsel before signing.
3. Dreaming of Leaving the U.S.? Your Estate Plan Needs to Go First

Each week, we hear from more colleagues, friends, and clients who are working on their “backup plan”—a permanent residency or a second passport in another country where they plan to retire or to get away from what they see in the news.
Emigrating from the United States can quietly unravel even a well-designed estate plan or asset protection strategy. Documents that work perfectly under U.S. law may fail, or create new tax problems once another country’s legal system gets involved.
Why it matters: More Americans are moving abroad for lifestyle, business, political, or tax reasons. What many don’t realize is that emigration changes how wills, trusts, LLCs, retirement accounts, and real estate are treated — sometimes overnight.
The big picture: Most U.S. estate plans assume three things:
You live in the U.S.
You die in the U.S.
Your assets stay in the U.S.
When even one of those assumptions breaks, problems follow.
Key risks to watch
Foreign countries may not recognize U.S. revocable living trusts
Foreign countries may heavily tax assets held in trusts
Forced-heirship laws can override your will
Multiple probates may be required in different countries
Florida homestead protections do not travel with you
U.S. LLCs may lose asset protection abroad
Foreign inheritance, wealth, or exit taxes may apply
What smart planning looks like: Before emigrating, many clients work with a Florida estate planning lawyer to:
Restructure or simplify trusts and LLCs
Create coordinated U.S. and foreign wills
Preserve exempt assets (retirement accounts, life insurance)
Plan for business succession and asset situs
Reduce future estate and exit tax exposure
Transfer assets into off-shore trusts or LLCs where they can be accessed regardless of what happens back “home.”
Bottom line: Emigration isn’t just a move—it’s a legal event. Estate planning and asset protection strategies are far easier to fix before you leave the U.S. than after a foreign court, tax authority, or creditor gets involved.
4. Playing to strengths instead of playing bigger

Edward has a sore on his leg that he keeps licking, so — after he destroyed a lamp with the old fashioned big plastic “cone of shame” — he upgraded to the more comfortable (and easier to navigate) blow-up collar that works just as well without destroying the furnishings.
The challenge: Many entrepreneurs stall not because they lack talent, but because they think too small. Instead of designing a bold future, they optimize what already works. Focusing only on what you do well feels productive, but it often caps growth. In EOS terms, this is what happens when Traction outpaces Vision — the business moves fast, just not very far.
Why this happens: Early wins condition founders to repeat what’s familiar. You get efficient, profitable, and busy. Over time, strengths harden into comfort zones. The company becomes an extension of the founder’s current capabilities rather than a vehicle for future growth.
Strong execution without expansive vision creates a ceiling you don’t see until you hit it.
Takeaway #1: Your Vision must be bigger than your current skill set
If your long-term vision can be achieved using only the tools, people, and knowledge you already have, it’s too small. A compelling EOS Vision should:
Force new capabilities
Require better leadership
Demand personal growth from the founder
Vision is not about what’s easy. It’s about what’s necessary to become the business you’re meant to build.
Takeaway #2: Shift from “What do we do well?” to “What problem should we own?”
Businesses scale when they obsess over a problem, not a competency. When Vision is anchored to a big problem:
Strategy expands
Innovation accelerates
Opportunities stop being limited by today’s business model
Great companies are remembered for the problems they solved, not the skills they started with.
Takeaway #3: Set Rocks that stretch identity, not just efficiency
Most quarterly Rocks focus on optimization. At least one Rock should feel uncomfortable:
Entering a new market
Building a new profit center or revenue stream
Delegating control to new leaders
If none of your Rocks make you uneasy, you’re managing—not leading.
The bottom line: Entrepreneurial growth demands thinking bigger than your strengths. Clarify a bold Vision, align it with meaningful Rocks, and let accountability pull you into the next version of yourself. Businesses don’t outgrow founders by accident—they do it by design.
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